2018 Polls on the Victorian Election – commissioned by the Bus Association of Victoria

By | blog | No Comments

In September and October 2018 the Bus Association of Victoria commissioned YouGov Galaxy to conduct polls in the lead up to the Victorian elections in November.

In addition to asking respondents for whom they would have voted on the day the polls were conducted and with which party they normally identified, respondents were asked for their thoughts on public transport issues and issues in which there is a significant level of interest – such as the rate of Victoria’s population increase, the desirability or otherwise of a hung parliament and whether or not Victoria’s large migration programme had benefited them.

Details of the questions asked and the responses from each poll may be obtained by clicking on their links below.

September 2018 Victorian election poll

October 2018 Victorian election poll

WHERE NEXT FOR THE GREENS

By | blog | No Comments

Much has been made of the Greens’ future prospects following the Tasmanian and South Australian elections and a federal by-election in a Victorian seat Batman. Half of Batman is comprised of a state seat Northcote in which the Greens defeated labor convincingly. In South Australia the Greens attracted 6.6 per cent of the vote, down 25 per cent
on their vote four years ago.
In Tasmania there numbers in the 25- member Legislative Assembly were reduced two, down from five in 2010 ― their worst result in 20 years and disastrous, particularly bearing in mind that Tasmania has a Senate-style voting system for its lower house. Over the latest two state elections support for the Greens has halved. In Batman there was a swing of 6.5 per cent to Labor, even though the Liberals did not nominate a candidate. Pundits and experts predicted an easy win for the Greens and during the campaign polls suggested that the Greens had a lead of up to six per cent.
On the back of these results some commentators are hailing the demise of the Greens. Clearly the results expose Greens’ grandiose ambitions such winning 25 seats in the House of Representatives for what they are. Whether these results justify writing the Greens off is another question. South Australia always has been a weak link for the Greens and Cori Bernardi’s Australian Conservatives fared just as poorly, losing their Upper House seeking re- election. Since the elections their other Upper House member has joined the Liberals. Read More