Skip to main content
All Posts By

admin

Politics by Postcode

By blog No Comments

Much has changed around us over the latest 30 years and people who either relive in regional or rural Australia or engage activities who occur outside our capital cities.

A question each of us has to answer is how we respond to these changes.

Do we pretend they are not happening and ignore them? Do we say that we did not ask for these changes and were not consulted about them and that we should not have change because of something for which we did not ask?

Do we say that the forces behind these changes are too powerful for us, that there is not anything we can do about it and that we should accept defeat and find something else to do, or do we say that we shall try to negate these changes and adapt to them while retaining our culture and our lifestyle?

To answer these questions it is necessary to ask why we find ourselves in this situation and where it all began.

Some people would say it began with the Vietnam War and the age of protest. That era signalled the beginning of the rise of individualism and with that the lowering of the value and importance placed on community and family. Gradually our society has become more about rights and me and less about obligations and others.

However the political challenge began well before that. The beginning of the end of the ascendancy of regional and rural Australia began in the 1950s with the post-World War 2 decision to develop a manufacturing industry with a limited population. There were not enough people to take ethe jobs to the people and so the people had to be taken to the jobs. Thus began not only Australia’s well-publicised migration programme but also the attracting of people from the country to the cities in Australia’s south-east corner.

Despite the increase in Australia’s population, increasingly driven by migrants who largely congregate in capital cities, especially Sydney and Melbourne, and the decimation of manufacturing, this mindset has not changed. Today we see the results 75 per cent of the populations of New south Wales, Victoria, South Australia and Western Australia live in the capital cities of those states.

Meanwhile the consequences of the cultural revolution of the 1960s have been reinforced by the collapse of communism and become more apparent since the 1990s. Between the 1930s and 1980s politics in Anglo-Saxon countries and Western Europe were determined by communism. Either political parties, termed the right, opposed communism and central planning or were tolerant of central planning and communism. These parties were termed ‘the Left’.

However, the Berlin wall came down in 1989, putting an end to what was already a façade, as was evidenced by the free-market economic policies championed by the Labor Party in Australia in the 1980s. if the major parties in the West had been intellectually honest they would have wound up because the rationale for the existence of all of them ceased to exist.

However that was not possible because, even by then, politics was becoming a career and to have acted on principle would have put jobs on the line. As unapologetic socialist and Carr Government Education Minister Rod Cavalier put it more than 15 years ago:

‘The political class is a coterie. The coterie has its differences within – any such divisions are not about ideas or ideology. The factions have become executive placement agencies, disputes between them become serious only when they cannot agree on a placement. They are effectively united for themselves against the world.’

Consequently since the 1990s the terms left and right have become meaningless. Their only value is to disguise the fact that today, as institutions, the major parties do not believe in anything. They are not terms that give you a sense of somebody’s values or beliefs. Nor does identification with a major party.

The most accurate indicator of people’s values and beliefs is postcodes – where they live.

When Mark Latham was the federal Labor party leader almost 20 years ago, he spoke about “Tourists” and “Residents”. He said that the insiders live like tourists in their own country. There is a sense in which they don’t live in Australia at all.

They travel extensively, eat out, and buy in domestic help. They see the challenges of globalisation as an opportunity, a chance to further develop their identity and information skills. This abstract lifestyle has produced an abstract style of politics. Symbolic and ideological campaigns are given top priority This involves a particular methodology: adopting a predetermined position on issues and then looking for evidence to support that position.’

The outsiders, on the other hand – the people who live in the outer suburbs and the regions – are the Residents of Australia. Their values are pragmatic. They cannot distance themselves from the problems of the neighbourhood, and so good behaviour and good services are all important. There is no symbolism, and also no dogma, in the suburbs, Latham said. The Residents look for small, pragmatic improvements, and they are not interested in “big pictures”.

2018 Polls on the Victorian Election – commissioned by the Bus Association of Victoria

By blog No Comments

In September and October 2018 the Bus Association of Victoria commissioned YouGov Galaxy to conduct polls in the lead up to the Victorian elections in November.

In addition to asking respondents for whom they would have voted on the day the polls were conducted and with which party they normally identified, respondents were asked for their thoughts on public transport issues and issues in which there is a significant level of interest – such as the rate of Victoria’s population increase, the desirability or otherwise of a hung parliament and whether or not Victoria’s large migration programme had benefited them.

Details of the questions asked and the responses from each poll may be obtained by clicking on their links below.

September 2018 Victorian election poll

October 2018 Victorian election poll

WHERE NEXT FOR THE GREENS

By blog No Comments

Much has been made of the Greens’ future prospects following the Tasmanian and South Australian elections and a federal by-election in a Victorian seat Batman. Half of Batman is comprised of a state seat Northcote in which the Greens defeated labor convincingly. In South Australia the Greens attracted 6.6 per cent of the vote, down 25 per cent
on their vote four years ago.
In Tasmania there numbers in the 25- member Legislative Assembly were reduced two, down from five in 2010 ― their worst result in 20 years and disastrous, particularly bearing in mind that Tasmania has a Senate-style voting system for its lower house. Over the latest two state elections support for the Greens has halved. In Batman there was a swing of 6.5 per cent to Labor, even though the Liberals did not nominate a candidate. Pundits and experts predicted an easy win for the Greens and during the campaign polls suggested that the Greens had a lead of up to six per cent.
On the back of these results some commentators are hailing the demise of the Greens. Clearly the results expose Greens’ grandiose ambitions such winning 25 seats in the House of Representatives for what they are. Whether these results justify writing the Greens off is another question. South Australia always has been a weak link for the Greens and Cori Bernardi’s Australian Conservatives fared just as poorly, losing their Upper House seeking re- election. Since the elections their other Upper House member has joined the Liberals. Read More